Paper prices still need to wait and see the demand for packaging paper improve
paper prices, even small fluctuations will bring very sensitive transmission effects to large paper users in, publishing, printing, packaging and other industries. In the past year, paper prices have fluctuated, with ups and downs. In 2011, the change of paper price will still affect the nerves of society. It has been reported in the media that some magazines raised their retail prices due to the rise in paper costs last year. So, what will happen to the paper industry this year? What is the price trend of paper products? In this regard, China publishing daily interviewed Zhao Wei, Secretary General of China Paper Association. Zhao Wei said that there are too many uncertainties now that the range of a single set of devices has reached the kiloton level/year. The fluctuation of paper prices will change with the market demand. The growth of paper and paperboard production in 2011 will basically maintain the growth rate in 2010
supply and demand determine price
waste paper price is the best indicator to predict the trend of paper prices. It was found that in 2011, the price of waste paper in Beijing increased slightly, from 1.1 yuan to 1.2 yuan/kg last year to 1.4 yuan to 1.6 yuan/kg now. Recently, there are media reports that some magazines have raised their retail prices due to the rising costs of printing, paper and transportation. However, on January 6, the waste paper trade in Zhejiang was stable; On the 5th, some merchants of high-speed rotating friction and wear testing machines in Jiangsu were unable to deliver the goods
pulp and waste paper, the main raw materials of papermaking enterprises, whether imported or domestic, rose last year
According to the statistical data released by the customs, China imported 18.215 million tons of waste paper in the first three quarters of last year, a decrease of 13.9% over the same period of the previous year; The value was US $3.93 billion, an increase of 43.9% over the same period of the previous year; The average import price was US $215.5 per ton, up 67.2% from the same period of the previous year. The data also showed that in the first seven months of last year, China imported 6.524 million tons of pulp, a decrease of 20.8% over the same period of the previous year; The value was US $4.91 billion, an increase of 29.2% over the same period of the previous year; The average import price was US $752.9 per ton, an increase of 63.2% over the same period of the previous year. From the data, the volume fell and the price rose, and the rising trend of price was very obviousif coupled with the substantial growth of fuel costs, transportation costs, etc., will the rising costs of paper enterprises lead to the rise of paper prices this year? In this regard, Zhao Wei has repeatedly stressed that supply and demand determine market prices
Zhao Wei said that at present, the increasing global inflationary pressure, rising raw materials, rising labor costs, energy problems, export obstacles and other factors may be the reasons for the rise in paper prices. However, the current national macroeconomic policy is to curb inflation, and preventing inflation has become the primary policy goal of the government this year. Therefore, it is still unknown how the fluctuation of paper prices will change in the future. Whether at home or abroad, the economic environment has great resource potential, and there are many uncertain factors. These uncertain factors will affect all links of the economic industrial chain. If the pressure of rising costs cannot be absorbed by the enterprise itself, it will also extend and transmit to the downstream industry. Therefore, the fluctuation of paper price will change with the market demand
demand drives packaging paper
packaging paper is highly correlated with consumer demand. When the economic trend is good, the demand for packaging paper as an economic barometer will naturally increase greatly. Over the past 30 years of reform and opening up, the total output value of China's packaging industry has continued to develop rapidly with an average annual increase of more than 18%. At present, China has become the third largest packaging country after the United States and Japan. Data show that the total output value of China's packaging industry reached 860billion yuan in 2008. It is estimated that the total output value of China's packaging industry will exceed 1.2 trillion yuan by the end of 2010. For this reason, especially in the past two years, in the face of the continuous invasion of e-book storm, many printing manufacturers have made packaging ideas
the rapid development of the packaging industry is driven by the demand of the consumer market, and packaging paper will therefore be sold well. According to customs data, China's total export value from January to November last year amounted to 1423.844 billion US dollars, an increase of 33% year-on-year. The improvement of export situation indirectly makes the demand for packaging paper strong, and packaging paper enterprises benefit from it. According to Zhao Wei, paper packaging accounts for more than 40% of all packaging materials for China's export commodities. Therefore, the improvement of China's economic export situation indirectly drives the demand for domestic packaging paper
it is understood that whiteboard is mostly produced from waste paper imported from the United States, mainly for low-end packaging. The price of imported waste paper in the United States rose a lot in 2010. At the end of last year, polypropylene materials will have a broader utilization prospect. At the beginning of this year, some paper enterprises said they would also raise prices. For example, Chenming Paper Co., Ltd. has raised its price several times last year, driven by cost and demand, and plans to raise the price of packaging paper again at the beginning of this year. However, whether the price increase is feasible under the current situation depends on the acceptance of downstream demand
the coated paper market is highly competitive
last year, the United States, Argentina, Pakistan and other countries as well as the European Union implemented anti-dumping investigations on China's coated paper, and many countries blocked China's coated paper exports. What impact will this have on the domestic coated paper market? Zhao Wei said that at present, coated paper is still the largest variety in China's paper and paperboard export products. Relevant domestic enterprises are actively responding. With the expansion of domestic demand, enterprises will adjust products that are oversupplied and will choose to produce marketable products to cope with market changes
According to Zhao Wei, currently known reconstruction projects, such as Nantong Prince company and Huatai Paper, two coated paper production lines with an annual output of 700000 tons, will be put into operation successively. It is expected that the domestic coated paper production capacity will increase this year and next, which will make the domestic coated paper Market more competitive. The growth of paper and paperboard production in 2011 will basically maintain the growth rate of 2010LINK
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